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Bryan Cantrill

👤 Person
3836 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

No, no, no. Here's why I think that was a bad idea. Because the fact that you have to put that limitation... And obviously, this is the policing mind versus the criminal mind. Clearly, I was putting that limitation in for myself. I clearly was the one who, like, I was the criminal. But the fact that you need that limitation says that, like, actually, there's a desire.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

No, no, no. Here's why I think that was a bad idea. Because the fact that you have to put that limitation... And obviously, this is the policing mind versus the criminal mind. Clearly, I was putting that limitation in for myself. I clearly was the one who, like, I was the criminal. But the fact that you need that limitation says that, like, actually, there's a desire.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Like, this is so overwhelming that people want to talk about it. And as a result, I think, Adam, our other predictions that you were not that good. The predictions that year were terrible because I really wanted to make three Web3 predictions. I just want to make nonstop Web3 predictions. But Simon, that year, Adam had a great prediction, which is that Web3 falls out of the lexicon.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Like, this is so overwhelming that people want to talk about it. And as a result, I think, Adam, our other predictions that you were not that good. The predictions that year were terrible because I really wanted to make three Web3 predictions. I just want to make nonstop Web3 predictions. But Simon, that year, Adam had a great prediction, which is that Web3 falls out of the lexicon.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And Simon, for years, we've done this. every year since 2000. We'd been missing some years in the middle, but we did this for a long, long time together. And we didn't record the sessions. And one of the challenges that we had is when a prediction was right... And Adam, I remember vividly this happening to you, but I think it's happened to a bunch of folks where a prediction was correct.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And Simon, for years, we've done this. every year since 2000. We'd been missing some years in the middle, but we did this for a long, long time together. And we didn't record the sessions. And one of the challenges that we had is when a prediction was right... And Adam, I remember vividly this happening to you, but I think it's happened to a bunch of folks where a prediction was correct.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And then someone would look back and be like, well, no, everyone knew that at the time. And you're like, screw you. I was arguing with the entire table that night. And we can go back in time and listen to Adam's prediction in 2022, one-year prediction that Web3 drops out of the Wexcon. And it was like, everyone's like, oh my God. And Adam's like, oh, I'm predicting this with my heart, not my head.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And then someone would look back and be like, well, no, everyone knew that at the time. And you're like, screw you. I was arguing with the entire table that night. And we can go back in time and listen to Adam's prediction in 2022, one-year prediction that Web3 drops out of the Wexcon. And it was like, everyone's like, oh my God. And Adam's like, oh, I'm predicting this with my heart, not my head.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

I know I'm going to be wrong. And it was spot on. So, um, and it's a lot more fun when it's like that. Uh, we're not actually, the accuracy is not actually that interesting. It's much more interesting when, um, we can, uh, and then when they are accurate, it's, it's, it's pretty interesting.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

I know I'm going to be wrong. And it was spot on. So, um, and it's a lot more fun when it's like that. Uh, we're not actually, the accuracy is not actually that interesting. It's much more interesting when, um, we can, uh, and then when they are accurate, it's, it's, it's pretty interesting.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Um, so in that spirit, Adam, I do think, and I do want to revisit just briefly because I know we, we, we got a, this is going to be a very lively year. I do want to revisit some past predictions. Um, and, In particular, and I think you listened to this one as well, and this is a six-year prediction from Ian in 2023 that Apple goes into and out of the VR business, which I love.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Um, so in that spirit, Adam, I do think, and I do want to revisit just briefly because I know we, we, we got a, this is going to be a very lively year. I do want to revisit some past predictions. Um, and, In particular, and I think you listened to this one as well, and this is a six-year prediction from Ian in 2023 that Apple goes into and out of the VR business, which I love.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Something that we love is parlays to make it, just in case you think a prediction is going to be accurate, add a parlay to it. Gotcha.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Something that we love is parlays to make it, just in case you think a prediction is going to be accurate, add a parlay to it. Gotcha.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And so Ian predicted that this is, you know, this is in January of 2023 when there were kind of rumored stuff, but no one really knew. And Apple was indeed. I mean, he is that was amazing. But that prediction is that prediction might be true on three years, not six, which is crazy.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And so Ian predicted that this is, you know, this is in January of 2023 when there were kind of rumored stuff, but no one really knew. And Apple was indeed. I mean, he is that was amazing. But that prediction is that prediction might be true on three years, not six, which is crazy.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

I think it did maybe a little less than fine, but I think you're right. No, I, Steve, you had a good prediction. That's like, this is like, look, this is not going to be, not going to be the Newton. Um, but they, you, Steve, I love the way you phrase it. It's like, they'll make another one.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

I think it did maybe a little less than fine, but I think you're right. No, I, Steve, you had a good prediction. That's like, this is like, look, this is not going to be, not going to be the Newton. Um, but they, you, Steve, I love the way you phrase it. It's like, they'll make another one.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

On that note, Adam, we've got to revisit because now our three-year predictions from 2022 are now up. And we've got a three-year that became kind of famous around here where Laura predicted that that RISC-V would be present and meaningful in the data center. And I would say that one is not wrong. You can actually spin up a RISC-V instance on Scaleway right now. I didn't know that.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

On that note, Adam, we've got to revisit because now our three-year predictions from 2022 are now up. And we've got a three-year that became kind of famous around here where Laura predicted that that RISC-V would be present and meaningful in the data center. And I would say that one is not wrong. You can actually spin up a RISC-V instance on Scaleway right now. I didn't know that.