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Bryan Cantrill

πŸ‘€ Speaker
4238 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And then someone would look back and be like, well, no, everyone knew that at the time. And you're like, screw you. I was arguing with the entire table that night. And we can go back in time and listen to Adam's prediction in 2022, one-year prediction that Web3 drops out of the Wexcon. And it was like, everyone's like, oh my God. And Adam's like, oh, I'm predicting this with my heart, not my head.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And then someone would look back and be like, well, no, everyone knew that at the time. And you're like, screw you. I was arguing with the entire table that night. And we can go back in time and listen to Adam's prediction in 2022, one-year prediction that Web3 drops out of the Wexcon. And it was like, everyone's like, oh my God. And Adam's like, oh, I'm predicting this with my heart, not my head.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

I know I'm going to be wrong. And it was spot on. So, um, and it's a lot more fun when it's like that. Uh, we're not actually, the accuracy is not actually that interesting. It's much more interesting when, um, we can, uh, and then when they are accurate, it's, it's, it's pretty interesting.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

I know I'm going to be wrong. And it was spot on. So, um, and it's a lot more fun when it's like that. Uh, we're not actually, the accuracy is not actually that interesting. It's much more interesting when, um, we can, uh, and then when they are accurate, it's, it's, it's pretty interesting.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Um, so in that spirit, Adam, I do think, and I do want to revisit just briefly because I know we, we, we got a, this is going to be a very lively year. I do want to revisit some past predictions. Um, and, In particular, and I think you listened to this one as well, and this is a six-year prediction from Ian in 2023 that Apple goes into and out of the VR business, which I love.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Um, so in that spirit, Adam, I do think, and I do want to revisit just briefly because I know we, we, we got a, this is going to be a very lively year. I do want to revisit some past predictions. Um, and, In particular, and I think you listened to this one as well, and this is a six-year prediction from Ian in 2023 that Apple goes into and out of the VR business, which I love.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Something that we love is parlays to make it, just in case you think a prediction is going to be accurate, add a parlay to it. Gotcha.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Something that we love is parlays to make it, just in case you think a prediction is going to be accurate, add a parlay to it. Gotcha.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And so Ian predicted that this is, you know, this is in January of 2023 when there were kind of rumored stuff, but no one really knew. And Apple was indeed. I mean, he is that was amazing. But that prediction is that prediction might be true on three years, not six, which is crazy.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And so Ian predicted that this is, you know, this is in January of 2023 when there were kind of rumored stuff, but no one really knew. And Apple was indeed. I mean, he is that was amazing. But that prediction is that prediction might be true on three years, not six, which is crazy.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

I think it did maybe a little less than fine, but I think you're right. No, I, Steve, you had a good prediction. That's like, this is like, look, this is not going to be, not going to be the Newton. Um, but they, you, Steve, I love the way you phrase it. It's like, they'll make another one.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

I think it did maybe a little less than fine, but I think you're right. No, I, Steve, you had a good prediction. That's like, this is like, look, this is not going to be, not going to be the Newton. Um, but they, you, Steve, I love the way you phrase it. It's like, they'll make another one.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

On that note, Adam, we've got to revisit because now our three-year predictions from 2022 are now up. And we've got a three-year that became kind of famous around here where Laura predicted that that RISC-V would be present and meaningful in the data center. And I would say that one is not wrong. You can actually spin up a RISC-V instance on Scaleway right now. I didn't know that.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

On that note, Adam, we've got to revisit because now our three-year predictions from 2022 are now up. And we've got a three-year that became kind of famous around here where Laura predicted that that RISC-V would be present and meaningful in the data center. And I would say that one is not wrong. You can actually spin up a RISC-V instance on Scaleway right now. I didn't know that.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Near miss or whatever, but it sounds like... That one is holding on. That one is not wrong, I would say. And you had made a six-year prediction in that same year that you'd be able to spin up AWS instances, RISC-V AWS instances in six. So that's got three to run. Feels like that's got some plausibility to it. Plausibility.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Near miss or whatever, but it sounds like... That one is holding on. That one is not wrong, I would say. And you had made a six-year prediction in that same year that you'd be able to spin up AWS instances, RISC-V AWS instances in six. So that's got three to run. Feels like that's got some plausibility to it. Plausibility.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Um, I had, I accurately predicted the demise of web three, like everybody else that year. And then my other predictions were absolutely terrible and embarrassing. Um, the, uh, open EDA, we are no closer to open EDA.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Um, I had, I accurately predicted the demise of web three, like everybody else that year. And then my other predictions were absolutely terrible and embarrassing. Um, the, uh, open EDA, we are no closer to open EDA.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

I can't, you know, and this has happened to me a couple of times over the years where I get like something like, I just, I get some bits set and I believe that better things are possible. And I just, you know, it clouds my, I blame Web3, Web3 cloud for my judgment.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

I can't, you know, and this has happened to me a couple of times over the years where I get like something like, I just, I get some bits set and I believe that better things are possible. And I just, you know, it clouds my, I blame Web3, Web3 cloud for my judgment.