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Bryan Cantrill

πŸ‘€ Speaker
4238 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Yeah, exactly. I was actually trying to make sure that I was not included in the CEO search by making clear what I intended to do as CEO. So mission accomplished on that one. Okay, then the other one, Adam, that at least I want to talk about, because I had a prediction a year ago that AI doomerism has dropped out of the lexicon, a la your Web3 prediction. We don't talk about PDoom and XRisk.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Yeah, exactly. I was actually trying to make sure that I was not included in the CEO search by making clear what I intended to do as CEO. So mission accomplished on that one. Okay, then the other one, Adam, that at least I want to talk about, because I had a prediction a year ago that AI doomerism has dropped out of the lexicon, a la your Web3 prediction. We don't talk about PDoom and XRisk.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And Adam, I'm giving myself full marks on this one.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And Adam, I'm giving myself full marks on this one.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Yeah, that is still present. And my prediction, just to be clear, was purely around AI-based humorism. And I did want to make sure that my prediction was wrong by turning it into a parlay that the humorists would claim credit for the fact that humorism is no longer in the zeitgeist. And I think that that is, I have not seen that as much.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Yeah, that is still present. And my prediction, just to be clear, was purely around AI-based humorism. And I did want to make sure that my prediction was wrong by turning it into a parlay that the humorists would claim credit for the fact that humorism is no longer in the zeitgeist. And I think that that is, I have not seen that as much.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

I've not seen Leon Shapira claiming that it was his humorism that has allowed AI to be safer. So I don't think that part has come true. but I would like to grant myself full marks on AI doomerism dropping out of the lexicon. I feel that that is. And Simon, when we had you on almost exactly a year ago... Yeah, it was the episode after this one a year ago.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

I've not seen Leon Shapira claiming that it was his humorism that has allowed AI to be safer. So I don't think that part has come true. but I would like to grant myself full marks on AI doomerism dropping out of the lexicon. I feel that that is. And Simon, when we had you on almost exactly a year ago... Yeah, it was the episode after this one a year ago.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

A year ago, and we had this scary IEEE Spectrum article about the boogeyman of open-source AI, which we would now call open-weight AI, I think. And that already feels like that has not aged well, that piece. I mean, we were... As you said, your eyebrows were flying off your head when you read it.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

A year ago, and we had this scary IEEE Spectrum article about the boogeyman of open-source AI, which we would now call open-weight AI, I think. And that already feels like that has not aged well, that piece. I mean, we were... As you said, your eyebrows were flying off your head when you read it.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And I don't think that one looks back on that piece and thinks like, well, boy, maybe that actually did raise some good points. It's like, no.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And I don't think that one looks back on that piece and thinks like, well, boy, maybe that actually did raise some good points. It's like, no.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

It was actually a good foreshadowing because I think that is actually one of the biggest stories of last year. It was what only happened, you know, whatever it was, two weeks ago, less than two weeks ago, because you're right, Simon, that was amazing what DeepSake has done. So out of many of the past predictions that we need to revisit before we get going on looking forward, are you...

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

It was actually a good foreshadowing because I think that is actually one of the biggest stories of last year. It was what only happened, you know, whatever it was, two weeks ago, less than two weeks ago, because you're right, Simon, that was amazing what DeepSake has done. So out of many of the past predictions that we need to revisit before we get going on looking forward, are you...

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

That's right. Um, and, uh, let's get Mike, uh, Mike, I think he's here. So maybe you can raise his hand. We'll get him up on stage. Um,

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

That's right. Um, and, uh, let's get Mike, uh, Mike, I think he's here. So maybe you can raise his hand. We'll get him up on stage. Um,

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

the, um, so, uh, yeah, um, and, uh, Oh, it's actually, so Mike's LBJ avatar, uh, did remind me, Adam, one thing I did want to go back from relisting to our predictions episode is, uh, my prediction of recall, my prediction of omnocracy, the, uh, we record every meeting and it turns into, we, we automate away middle management. Um, um,

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

the, um, so, uh, yeah, um, and, uh, Oh, it's actually, so Mike's LBJ avatar, uh, did remind me, Adam, one thing I did want to go back from relisting to our predictions episode is, uh, my prediction of recall, my prediction of omnocracy, the, uh, we record every meeting and it turns into, we, we automate away middle management. Um, um,

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And you said, like, ask how it worked out for Richard Nixon, which I think you had a quip. And I don't know, and Mike, I'm not sure if you know this, why Nixon recorded conversations in the Oval Office. When Nixon first came in, this was a story that was told to Doris Kearns Gunwood, that when he ascended to the presidency, he really wanted to make sure he had great memoirs.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And you said, like, ask how it worked out for Richard Nixon, which I think you had a quip. And I don't know, and Mike, I'm not sure if you know this, why Nixon recorded conversations in the Oval Office. When Nixon first came in, this was a story that was told to Doris Kearns Gunwood, that when he ascended to the presidency, he really wanted to make sure he had great memoirs.