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Carmen Li

πŸ‘€ Speaker
328 total appearances
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Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

So then this price will be highly correlated, ideally, as much as it can to the price you pay at a new cloud, for example.

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

However, it won't be the same just like basis trading, right?

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

Like every other commodity there's a basis risk.

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

who are helping clients calculate the basis risk.

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

So you know, hey, you're US East, you may be a bit higher or two, then there's expectation, a manageable correlation understanding of the indices.

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

So it's interesting.

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

So last year, when GP price all going down, the big conversation is, why do you need indices for something price will always go down?

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

And this year is, why do you want indices when price always go up?

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

That's right.

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

Literally, this is all the question I get.

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

It's pretty fascinating.

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

So when we look at volatility, we look at daily volatility movement, not the price up and down, right?

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

The daily volatility for A100, H100 is around 20 to 30.

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

There's a very healthy commodity volatility range.

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

So I don't manage volatility.

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

It just happened to be that volatility that can change.

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

It's all because we normalize it.

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

If you look at each individual chip configuration at different geolocation, the volatility are different.

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

There are some chips with 80% volatility, some chips with over 100.

Odd Lots
Carmen Li's Plan to Build a Futures Market for Compute

Because normalization of indices, you actually get very healthy 20 to 30 daily vol.