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Casey Handmer

👤 Speaker
748 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

It's maybe five years behind.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

We're already on track to do that.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

My views on this are somewhat different from the mainstream, which is great because this is a podcast.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

So the mainstream view would say, well, China has cheaper labor.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

which is no longer true because they compared to Mexico.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

And it's got lower environmental regulations, which is true.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

And that it is more business friendly, which is absolutely crazy.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

I've never heard, like, there's no way you could justify that, like, your company having to have an inspector from the CCP on its board who, like, harasses you about Xi Jinping every day, like, helps you do your business.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

And also the rule of law is not great.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

So you're constantly having to pay bribes to people in order to stay in business.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

The idea that the United States cannot compete against that with mostly or fully automated solar panel manufacturing in the United States, which has cheaper natural gas by far, abundant oil, abundant human resources, great financial capacity, world-leading automation, et cetera, et cetera, is crazy.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

We could literally copy-paste solar manufacturing factories.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

This is a good question.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

When Russia invaded Ukraine, I thought, ah, finally, the Europeans will see sense.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

And they'll like pull the trigger on like, we need to localize production of solar panels from dirt to the finished module, which is like roughly a four-stage process.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

They didn't.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

So they're still paying Russia like a billion dollars a day for the privilege of being invaded.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

But at the time, I thought they could probably do that in about two years.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

And I think the

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

If you started today, like it's currently 11 o'clock.