Chamath
speaker
939 appearances
12 recordings
2 series
first heard Jun 2024
last heard 3 Jun
Chamath’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 8 in all, peaking in Nov 2025 with 2.
Appearances
There's something about her policies and I think her – look, I think within the Democratic Party – You think it's her personality. I think it's partly personality, but I also think it's policies and cultural issues. So within the Democratic Party, there's always been two tracks. There's the beer track and there's the wine track. And so, you know, Bill Clinton was classic beer track guy, right?
Beer summit with Obama. Yeah. Right. And I think Joe Biden was was beer track. Then there's kind of the wine track, which is the more it's the part of the party that cares about these boutique cultural issues, starting with DEI and equity and trans and things like that.
Limousine liberals is what they used to be called. But I like yours, wine liberals or the woke wine liberals.
Basically, the entire California Democratic Party is very wine track. I mean, Gavin is very wine track. Kamala Harris is very wine track. You can understand why a blue collar worker, it doesn't appeal to that. They want more of that lunch pail traditional Democrat. But that Democratic Party doesn't really exist anymore. I mean, the Democratic Party is
has evolved to be the party of the professional class, whereas the Republicans are more the party of the working class. And you're now starting to see it. I think Biden was the Democrats' last vestige of this working class party. He really worked at being appealing to those voters, you know, the whole Scranton Joe image. Yeah, Union Joe. Yeah, exactly.
Whereas Kamala, when you get her talking in an unguarded moment, and it's not a canned answer, she's going to talk about diversity, equity, and inclusion. And that's not what your typical teamster wants to hear.
Let me ask you a challenging question, because one of its likes when I ask you a challenge a bit. If Trump loses, what do you think will be the cause of the loss? If he loses, like strategically, when we look back on the last six months, what do you think you would change? What would cause it?
Well, look, I mean, the great asset that Kamala Harris has is not her likability. It's not her track record. It's not her policies. It's the fact that she's got the media behind her. And if you look at, like, for example, ABC News, 100% of the coverage by ABC News is positive, whereas something like 93% of their coverage on Trump is negative.
And you saw this, that before Harris replaced Biden as the nominee, she had very low favorability ratings. And then the media basically reinvented her as this transformative candidate. So look, when you've got the media willing to operate as de facto members of your campaign, that's tremendously powerful. If we had a fair media, this election wouldn't be close.
So that is the advantage the Democrats have. Now look, should Trump have... done the debate with ABC News? No, I think he should have chosen more fair moderators. I mean, to their credit, I think CNN played the Biden-Trump debate pretty fair and down the middle. But ABC, I mean, it was predictable that, like I said, I mean, one of the hosts was her sorority sister, they're friends.
So, you know, I think that if Trump loses, you could say that his willingness to walk into the lion's den, take on all comers, do every interview, you could say maybe that wasn't as strategic as what she did. But at the end of the day, I think that voters will appreciate that both Trump and J.D. are willing to do basically every podcast, every interview. They're not afraid to answer questions.
And when they do answer questions, you can see them thinking and they don't give you the same canned answer they've given 10 times before. including at the debate. So, yeah, I mean, that's my take. What's yours, J. Cal?
On which aspect? Be more specific. Give me a specific question.
What do you think, if she ends up winning, what do you think the reason will be?
Yeah, that's a good question. If she ends up winning, I think it will be that people believe that they, I think it will be that moderates in those swing states, and women, believe that it's too much chaos and that Trump will be too much, they want a calmer, same thing reason Biden won, right?
Like that there's this like concept that the adults are in the room and it will be calm and it won't be chaotic. And I think people just still see Trump as a bit chaotic. And I think that's the big fear. And I think they've played the abortion card and the right to choose really well. Even though Trump said it here, I'm not gonna sign the abortion ban, I'm pro-IVF.
I think they have that really great win of saying, hey, you bragged about overturning Roe v. Wade. Probably wasn't smart to brag about that. And they have that clip that they can keep reinforcing. So if he does lose, and I don't know that he's going to lose, I think there's a lot of people who are going to go in there and vote for him
but not say it to pollsters and not say it to their family and friends because they're embarrassed because of the pressure against orange Hitler. Oh, you know, this whole rhetoric that he's going to, you know, overturn democracy. So I think it's a pretty good chance that he's going to win. Actually. I don't think that this, I mean, look, I think in a close race, right.
They say the statistics in a close race favor him.
Yeah, look, I mean, maybe we're asking the wrong question here, which is why would he lose? I mean, I think maybe the real question is why is he favored to win? Because I think the polls, including Nate Stilver, still show him favored to win.
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