Chris Rufo

young white men founding companies making money having some cultural prestige she wants to shut it down and so maybe there's a bit of both um but uh i don't think it's necessarily entirely cynical you know i wonder too if there's a i gotta break in here for just a minute guys uh because i i have to say this you know i haven't got much time so i just want to talk about dying

I mean, look, a couple of things.

So first off, if they are able to conclude the war and move on in a matter of weeks or a single digit amount of months, people will forget by the midterms.

Politics operates on media cycles, like up until that last moment.

And so, you know, when the president goes to McDonald's, when they have the eating the cats and dogs memes, I mean, we're talking about the October surprise.

And so the public will make a late breaking decision.

And if the war is still in the news, then I think it's potentially catastrophic.

If the war is out of the news, they'll make a decision on a different basis.

But the general tide and the general thermostatic effect of midterms when there's a

Three part control of government for one political party suggests that Trump is going to be, you know, kind of wiped out, at least in the House.

I think that's still probably the best bet.

But this and this gives certainly some new uncertainty.

And.

My big fear is that that uncertainty can spiral out into a number of different directions.

I mean, look, a couple of things.

A couple of those would be very concerning that you've outlined.

So first off, if they are able to conclude the war and move on in a matter of weeks or a single digit amount of months, people will forget by the midterms.

And I guess the other side of the question, and I've asked this to hawks over the last few weeks, haven't got a sufficient answer, but is what does victory look like?

Politics operates on media cycles, like up until that last moment.

How do we know when we've won and what do we get if we've won?