Chris Rufo

And so, you know, when the president goes to McDonald's, when they have the eating the cats and dogs memes, I mean, we're talking about the October surprise.

And is it so kind of clearly and significantly better than the status quo ante prior to hostilities that voters will reward the president?

And so the public will make a late breaking decision.

Again,

You should never analyze these solely on political considerations, but I think both the substance and the perception, to me, on that other side of the issue, are still a bit hazy.

And if the war is still in the news, then I think it's potentially catastrophic.

If the war is out of the news, they'll make a decision on a different basis.

But the general tide and the general thermostatic effect of midterms when there's a

The administration hasn't quite articulated them as I see them.

Three part control of government for one political party suggests that Trump is going to be, you know, kind of wiped out, at least in the House.

I think that's still probably the best bet.

But this and this gives certainly some new uncertainty and

my big fear is that that uncertainty can spiral out into a number of different directions a couple of those would be very concerning that you've outlined and i guess the other side of the question and i've asked this to hawks over the last few weeks haven't got a sufficient answer but is what does victory look like

How do we know when we've won and what do we get if we've won?

And is it so kind of clearly and significantly better than the status quo ante prior to hostilities that voters will reward the president?

Again,

You should never analyze these solely on political considerations, but I think both the substance and the perception, to me, on that other side of the issue, are still a bit hazy.

The administration hasn't quite articulated them as I see it.

No, it's okay.

Certainly, I think it's possible.