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Dan Ivascyn

πŸ‘€ Speaker
717 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

You know, people ask me, you know, what podcast do I like?

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

I like sports and I like our industry, but I try to spend the bulk of my time listening to all the tech stuff because that's the area where I have the least amount of feel.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Yeah.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

But it's very, very important.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And then we're trying to get a bit more of a –

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

you know, a bearish or cautionary message, you know, when you're lending against AI investments and at best you get par back, hopefully,

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Unlike some of these private AI companies where you're talking about five, ten times multiples, tripling money.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Correct.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And, of course, there are huge macro implications here.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

But even if you get the macro right and you make a few mistakes in a bond portfolio, they're like grenades going off.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

You can quickly lose half a percent here, half a percent there.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

You work hard to generate that incremental return.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Sure.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And we've talked about this for the last few years, but in the general thought

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

at least when you look at the geopolitical stuff, is that for a while, it was safe to assume you're a politician, you generate good economic outcomes, everything's fine.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

You get reelected.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And most policy was based on global economic efficiency, the whole globalization trend.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And then we had the COVID shock.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And now we have a series of shocks, populism within politics, the realization that significant parts of

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

The economy, middle income, lower income households haven't done so well the last few decades.