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Dan Ivascyn

πŸ‘€ Speaker
717 total appearances
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Voice samples: 2
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

No, I don't... Look, I think...

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Don't care, I guess, would be the first point in the sense that- Wait, wait, wait.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Don't care about whether they speak or not?

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

As a market practitioner, I think that a lot of the speaking that's gone on is interesting, but not essential for the markets to have a good sense of what-

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

The crowd loves what you're saying.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Well, they're long.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And then, you know, even dots and things are the individual views, which, again, you know, views usually tend to be pretty good around policy when you're looking forward a month or two.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Yeah.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

So I think it's a lot of noise.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And I think the markets will be just fine with –

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

more standard and targeted communication.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

The other point is, you know, when we hear about Fed behind curves, ahead of curves, with just a few words, you can control market expectations.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And sometimes you don't need any words at all.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

For example, we started this year, January and February, we had bonds rallying.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

There was this mindset.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

I think over the long run, it's a reasonable mindset that all this AI technology is going to put downward pressure on prices.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Disinflationary.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And then you had the war breakout in Iran.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

It didn't take a single Fed speech to get the front end of the yield curve to go higher because now people knew inflation was higher in that it was less likely that you're going to cover it.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Correct.