Dan Pfeiffer

And Trump won Latino voters by 10 points in Texas, according to the exit polls.

What has changed since then is that those college-educated white voters have stayed exactly where they were before and maybe even more fired up now than they were back in 2024.

And Latino voters have moved dramatically away from Trump.

Trump's approval rating among Latinos nationally is minus 50%.

In the generic, that's in the New York Times poll, in the Unidos US poll of battleground districts around the country, they looked at the battleground districts, this is a poll of Latinos, battleground districts in the Southwest, which is mostly but not entirely Texas, Democrats are winning the generic ballot by 38 points.

And so if James Tallarico, if he can get

Kamala Harris, Joe Biden style numbers with college educated white voters and something like Hillary Clinton's 2016 Latino numbers.

He wins that race and he wins by a couple of points.

Right.

He has to navigate what we all talked about to get there, but this is not...

previous discussion of texas it's not like a lot of other red states where we talk about we're like we got this popular candidate maybe they can just persuade a bunch of these voters and maybe we'll get there but there's no path you can the math tells you that this state is in play if talarico can achieve what what it should be achievable democratic numbers so that's that okay now i was gonna say yeah now that's a good setup for what i think the challenge is

So my thoughts are, I guess the way to think about this is,

The strategy they're running against Tallarico is the strategy they ran against Kamala Harris in 2024.

The goal is to define him before he can divide himself.

Tallarico, very well known among Democrats and very politically engaged people.

To the extent that other people even know who he is, they kind of vaguely have this sense that he is like a Democrat who talks about his faith a lot, maybe as much as they know.

And you know, the general vibes that he's not a typical Democrat.

And so that's a vacuum that the right is trying to fill before Talladega can fill himself.

So what are the mistakes that Kamala Harris made that led her to be defined?

The first is when the attacks came, like the infamous they-them ad, she never took them head on.