Daniel Kokotajlo

Well, I do think that it's related to the idea of mainstream media, that it should be treated more as a viable career path.

Where right now, if you told your parents, I'm going to become a startup founder, I think the reaction would be like, there's a 1% chance you'll succeed.

But it's an interesting experience.

And if you do succeed, that's crazy.

That'll be great.

If you don't, you'll learn something.

It'll be helpful to the thing you do afterwards.

We know that's true of blogging, right?

We know that it helps you build up a network.

It helps you develop your ideas.

And even if you don't succeed, and if you do succeed, you get a dream job for a lifetime.

And I think what people don't, maybe they don't have that mindset, but also they underappreciate how much it is, like you actually could succeed at it.

It's not a crazy outcome to make a lot of money as a blogger.

Yeah.

How does your old blogging feed back into your current blogging?

So when you're discussing a new idea, I mean AI or whatever else, are you just able to pull from the insights from your previous commentary on sociology or anthropology or history or something?

Yeah.

There was actually a prediction market about the year by which an AI would be able to write a blog post as good as you.

Was it 2026 or 2027?

I think it was 2027.