Daniel Kokotajlo

And I think what people don't, maybe they don't have that mindset, but also they underappreciate how much it is, like you actually could succeed at it.

It's not a crazy outcome to make a lot of money as a blogger.

Yeah.

How does your old blogging feed back into your current blogging?

So when you're discussing a new idea, I mean AI or whatever else, are you just able to pull from the insights from your previous commentary on sociology or anthropology or history or something?

Yeah.

There was actually a prediction market about the year by which an AI would be able to write a blog post as good as you.

Was it 2026 or 2027?

I think it was 2027.

Yeah.

It was like 15% by 2027 or something like that.

It is an interesting question of they do have your writing and all other good writing in training distribution.

And weirdly, they seem way better at getting superhuman at coding than they are at programming.

at writing, right?

Which is like the main thing in their distribution.

There was this recent Financial Times article about how we've reached peak cognitive power.

We're talking about declining scores in PISA and SAT and so forth.

On the Internet especially, it does seem like there might have been a golden era before I was that active on the forums or whatever.

Yeah.

Do you have nostalgia for a particular time on the internet when it was just like, this is an intellectual mecca?