Daniel Kokotajlo

So the – why not just say that like, look –

At higher scale, it will probably get even more difficult.

Wait a second.

I agree, Robin Hanson in particular has been too pessimistic.

I had this interesting experience yesterday.

We were having lunch with this senior AI researcher, probably makes on the order of like millions a month or something.

And we were asking him, how much are the AIs helping you?

And he said, in domains, which I understand well, and it's closer to autocomplete but more intense,

There it's maybe saving me four to eight hours a week.

But then he says, in domains which I'm less familiar with, if I need to go wrangle up some hardware library or make some modification to the kernel or whatever, where I'm just like, I know less, that saves me on the order of 24 hours a week.

now with like current models.

What I found really surprising is that the help is bigger where it's less like autocomplete and more like a novel contribution.

It's like a more significant productivity improvement there.

Isn't this a good opportunity to discuss a certain question I asked Dario that you responded to?

What are you thinking of?

Well, I asked this question where, as you say, they know all this stuff.

I don't know if you saw this.

I asked this question where I said, look, these models know all this stuff.

And if a human knew every single thing a human has ever written down on the Internet, they'd be able to make all these interesting connections between different ideas and maybe even find medical cures or scientific discoveries as a result.

there was some guy who noticed that magnesium deficiency causes something in the brain that is similar to what happens when you get a migraine.