Dario Amodei
speaker
1,812 appearances
10 recordings
8 series
first heard Oct 2024
last heard 12 Jun
Dario Amodei’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 8 in all, peaking in Apr 2026 with 3.
Appearances
I suggested that AI could contribute to enormous advances in biology, neuroscience, economic development, global peace, and work and meaning.
I felt it was important to give people something inspiring to fight for, a task at which both AI accelerationists and AI safety advocates seemed, oddly, to have failed.
But in this current essay, I want to confront the rite of passage itself.
To map out the risks that we are about to face and try to begin making a battle plan to defeat them.
I believe deeply in our ability to prevail, in humanity's spirit and its nobility, but we must face the situation squarely and without illusions.
As with talking about the benefits, I think it is important to discuss risks in a careful and well-considered manner.
In particular, I think it is critical to Avoid doomerism.
Here, I mean doomerism not just in the sense of believing doom is inevitable, which is both a false and self-fulfilling belief, but more generally, thinking about AI risks in a quasi-religious way.
Many people have been thinking in an analytic and sober way about AI risks for many years, but it's my impression that during the peak of worries about AI risk in 2023 to 2024, some of the least sensible voices rose to the top, often through sensationalistic social media accounts.
These voices used off-putting language reminiscent of religion or science fiction and called for extreme actions without having the evidence that would justify them.
It was clear even then that a backlash was inevitable and that the issue would become culturally polarised and therefore gridlocked.
As of 2025-2026, the pendulum has swung, and AI opportunity, not AI risk, is driving many political decisions.
This vacillation is unfortunate, as the technology itself doesn't care about what is fashionable, and we are considerably closer to real danger in 2026 than we were in 2023.
The lesson is that we need to discuss and address risks in a realistic, pragmatic manner, sober, fact-based, and well-equipped to survive changing tides.
Acknowledge uncertainty.
There are plenty of ways in which the concerns I'm raising in this piece could be moot.
Nothing here is intended to communicate certainty or even likelihood.
Most obviously, AI may simply not advance anywhere near as fast as I imagine.
Or, even if it does advance quickly, some or all of the risks discussed here may not materialize, which would be great or there may be other risks I haven't considered.
No one can predict the future with complete confidence, but we have to do the best we can to plan anyway.
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