Dave Wasserman

Yeah, and there are parts of the country that are analogous.

Yeah, definitely. But the kind of the dark horse districts that I think about are places like Colorado Springs, where it's been Republican forever.

Yeah, definitely. But the kind of the dark horse districts that I think about are places like Colorado Springs, where it's been Republican forever.

Yeah, definitely. But the kind of the dark horse districts that I think about are places like Colorado Springs, where it's been Republican forever.

But it's these it's these midsize districts. outdoorsy metros that are attracting left-leaning professionals that want a lower cost of living than the big cities. So it's Asheville, it's Colorado Springs. It's, you know, I look at Kevin Kiley's district in Northern California, which has some of the Tahoe region and some of the Sacramento suburbs. And that hasn't really been in play recently.

But it's these it's these midsize districts. outdoorsy metros that are attracting left-leaning professionals that want a lower cost of living than the big cities. So it's Asheville, it's Colorado Springs. It's, you know, I look at Kevin Kiley's district in Northern California, which has some of the Tahoe region and some of the Sacramento suburbs. And that hasn't really been in play recently.

But it's these it's these midsize districts. outdoorsy metros that are attracting left-leaning professionals that want a lower cost of living than the big cities. So it's Asheville, it's Colorado Springs. It's, you know, I look at Kevin Kiley's district in Northern California, which has some of the Tahoe region and some of the Sacramento suburbs. And that hasn't really been in play recently.

I was surprised that the D-Trip didn't have it on its list. But those are the kinds of seats... Back at this point in 2017, for example, even though Dave Brat had beaten Eric Cantor, that seat was not really on people's radars. But the Richmond suburbs were moving and Democrats got a great candidate in Abigail Spanberger. And by the end of the cycle, it was a toss-up.

I was surprised that the D-Trip didn't have it on its list. But those are the kinds of seats... Back at this point in 2017, for example, even though Dave Brat had beaten Eric Cantor, that seat was not really on people's radars. But the Richmond suburbs were moving and Democrats got a great candidate in Abigail Spanberger. And by the end of the cycle, it was a toss-up.

I was surprised that the D-Trip didn't have it on its list. But those are the kinds of seats... Back at this point in 2017, for example, even though Dave Brat had beaten Eric Cantor, that seat was not really on people's radars. But the Richmond suburbs were moving and Democrats got a great candidate in Abigail Spanberger. And by the end of the cycle, it was a toss-up.

I think we're going to see similar dynamics now. And keep in mind that Democrats are a lot closer to the majority today than they were in 2017.

I think we're going to see similar dynamics now. And keep in mind that Democrats are a lot closer to the majority today than they were in 2017.

I think we're going to see similar dynamics now. And keep in mind that Democrats are a lot closer to the majority today than they were in 2017.

It could be. I wouldn't be surprised if Zach Nunn took a serious look at it. I would be a little bit more surprised if Marionette Miller-Meeks, who has kind of struggled to lock down her district. I don't know if she has that statewide appeal. But Hinson might. Hinson might. Sure, sure. She's looking at it, too. Yeah. And, you know, Iowa, I think, is a perfect barometer for 26, because...

It could be. I wouldn't be surprised if Zach Nunn took a serious look at it. I would be a little bit more surprised if Marionette Miller-Meeks, who has kind of struggled to lock down her district. I don't know if she has that statewide appeal. But Hinson might. Hinson might. Sure, sure. She's looking at it, too. Yeah. And, you know, Iowa, I think, is a perfect barometer for 26, because...

It could be. I wouldn't be surprised if Zach Nunn took a serious look at it. I would be a little bit more surprised if Marionette Miller-Meeks, who has kind of struggled to lock down her district. I don't know if she has that statewide appeal. But Hinson might. Hinson might. Sure, sure. She's looking at it, too. Yeah. And, you know, Iowa, I think, is a perfect barometer for 26, because...

If there is a place where tariffs should cost Republicans locally, it's their farm states.

If there is a place where tariffs should cost Republicans locally, it's their farm states.

If there is a place where tariffs should cost Republicans locally, it's their farm states.

Yeah, and yet Democrats have been trying to make a case that that would happen there for years. And they've got... Nebraska got uncomfortably close for Deb Fischer.