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David Duvenaud

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
1059 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

And it's not clear in an absolute sense how hard it even is.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

I think it's very, very hard.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

But the stakes also haven't been very high so far.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

So it's one of these, like, you always have to ask, like, why has no one else...

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

looked at this in depth before.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

And certainly people have, I'm not claiming we're the first ones, but it still seems massively understudied to me.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

And I think part of the reason is that the stakes just haven't been that high so far.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

Yeah.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

And basically, if you think Malthusian dynamics look like a bad end, no matter what, it's kind of unclear what would even make you happy about the distant future.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

So my current way of thinking about it is that we are going to be optimizing some value function just because we're these ambitious beings who have wants and agency.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

If we end up having to optimize sort of for growth, then we will lose a lot of what we value.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

The good end looks like we managed to control our own sort of fitness function that we end up spending the rest of our days optimizing.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

And it's going to take a lot of thought to get that right in such a way that doesn't destroy almost all value by our current standards.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

Well, I mean, OK, so let me try to steal a man the position.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

So one thing is like, again, liberalism is unintuitively good just for everybody involved, especially even the people who are like poor or like disenfranchised.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

They still get like better welfare and stuff.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

So that's one reason why, like historically, people were afraid of like the Industrial Revolution, but it ended up being good.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

People are making the same argument now and we're making the case that it's actually importantly different now, which I think is like.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

I think people are right to be skeptical, right?

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

Because everyone's always saying, don't automate my jobs, it's going to ruin my life.