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David Friedberg

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
7365 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

So Xbox, I think the day after the EA deal got announced, decided to hike prices

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

50% to their subscription service.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

And what happened over the subsequent few days is that so many people tried to cancel that the site went down.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

So what are you seeing happening?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

You have distribution gatekeepers trying to raise prices and take share.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

And then you have the original IP owners who have not had a well-funded way of fighting back in a category that is basically as important and frankly, more important than social media.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

So I think if you take an asset like this private, it allows you to take your time to clean up the OpEx model, figure out who does what, be able to use the best of all these next-gen tools,

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

and then be able to find ways of finding distribution outside the scope of Xbox and PlayStation so that you can take more of your share.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

If you do those things, this is a multi hundred billion dollar asset.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

And in that, I think it could be just an enormous win.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

So I think it's very smart.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

What's the bear case?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

I think the bear case is extending a theme that I've talked about here a few times, which is I think the value of patents and by extension, IP and copyrights are going to go away.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

And in that, there's going to be a spectrum where certain content IP holders lose and other ones win.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

I think gaming is on the winning side, to be honest.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

And I think content studios in general, like traditional content, the Disney's, the Hulu's, the Netflix's are on the losing side.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

But the bear case would be that these tool chains

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

allow the number of games to be built to increase by two, three, four orders of magnitude, and that they are distributed by other places like the social media sites.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

I just think that that's a pretty low probability.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy

So on balance, I think that Jared and Egon did a killer deal.