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David Frum

πŸ‘€ Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
8802 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

As I understand the math of the Persian Gulf, it's 20% of the world's oil, or as you correct me, correct me, ship-borne oil.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

Yep.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

There's a lot of oil moves by land.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

80% of that oil moves to East Asia, not just China, but Japan, South Korea, others, but China being the single largest consumer.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

But there's only one world price.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

So it's not like the United States can shrug it off.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

And that whatever happens, Americans pay at the pump because even if you buy 100% American-made fuel, that 100% American-made fuel is priced according to whatever the world price is according to the marginal buyer.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

Because the Chinese could also buy from, so long as we have any kind of free market in energy, if the Persian Gulf is closed, then they're more bidders for American oil or for oil from Norway or from other suppliers.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

So there's one price, even though 80% of the Persian Gulf soil flows to East Asia.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

Well, there are two other sort of more radical thoughts on the energy market that I come away with as watching this.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

And clearly, these are things that can't be done today or tomorrow or they're a decade work.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

But if you look just at the map,

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

The distance from the Persian Gulf to Haifa in Israel, all the way through Saudi territory, is not greater than the pipeline that Saudi Arabia built from the Persian Gulf to the Red Sea.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

They went to the trouble of building a diversionary canal or pipeline that

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

allows them to export via the Red Sea.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

That is past the Houthis in Yemen.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

But you could also build a pipeline to Israel and go through the Mediterranean and be surrounded by friendly people the whole way.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

They didn't do that for political reasons, I assume.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

And meanwhile, in the past decade, the United States, under two Trump administrations with a not very effective Biden administration between, has made very little progress moving away from petroleum, moving itself and moving the world away from petroleum,

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

when we've had a decade of opportunity and technology that enabled us to do that if we were minded to do it.