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David McCloskey

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2166 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

I don't think it's hyperbolic to say, Gordon, that this is the most significant internal challenge that the Islamic Republic has ever faced and certainly faced since 1970 died.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

I mean, the scale and the intensity of these protests, the crackdown, the level of violence, the death toll, it's uncertain, but it's still rising.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

And it looks like it's going to be

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

the most violence that the regime has meted out against its own people ever.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

It's truly an unprecedented situation for the Islamic Republic.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

So those are the big questions we'll be tackling in this two-part series.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

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The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

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The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

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The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

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The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

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The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

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The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

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The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

I did have the, I guess, fortune or misfortune, depending on how you look at it, of covering Syria during the kind of early stages of the protest movement, the uprising, and eventually what became a civil war of a bunch of opposition factions against Bashar al-Assad's regime.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

And so I was a CIA analyst who was looking at that

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

uprising, which began in 2011, and obviously morphed into terrible violence that went on for over a decade, and is still going on today.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

So I have, I think, a particular perspective on how an intelligence agency is going to react to a fast-moving crisis like this, and what it feels like to sort of

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

be wrestling with some of these really, really big questions about what's going on in the country that you happen to be following?

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

Because you think that the Iran, and we'll go much deeper into this, but the Iran analysts are now confronting a series of massive questions about what's coming next and the stability of the regime or lack thereof.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

And so how do you make sense of that as an intelligence analyst?