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David Spiegelhalter

👤 Person
240 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Something You Should Know
Cool Things You Can Do With AI & Surprising Insight in Chance, Probability & Risk

I wouldn't say a rational, but a balanced approach to actually looking at the important things and not, I personally feel, not following people's anxieties.

Something You Should Know
Cool Things You Can Do With AI & Surprising Insight in Chance, Probability & Risk

This is the important thing which I always emphasize, which is resilience. And the point is that, you know, we can't stop everything. Stuff happens. We can't stop everything bad happening to us and we're going to die anyway. So the crucial thing is resilience, which is being able to deal with stuff as it comes along of, you know, recover as best as you can.

Something You Should Know
Cool Things You Can Do With AI & Surprising Insight in Chance, Probability & Risk

This is the important thing which I always emphasize, which is resilience. And the point is that, you know, we can't stop everything. Stuff happens. We can't stop everything bad happening to us and we're going to die anyway. So the crucial thing is resilience, which is being able to deal with stuff as it comes along of, you know, recover as best as you can.

Something You Should Know
Cool Things You Can Do With AI & Surprising Insight in Chance, Probability & Risk

This is the important thing which I always emphasize, which is resilience. And the point is that, you know, we can't stop everything. Stuff happens. We can't stop everything bad happening to us and we're going to die anyway. So the crucial thing is resilience, which is being able to deal with stuff as it comes along of, you know, recover as best as you can.

Something You Should Know
Cool Things You Can Do With AI & Surprising Insight in Chance, Probability & Risk

And it's resilience to things you never even thought of. I mean, you can protect yourself to some extent against things you have thought of. But in the end, what one needs is reserves, both I think mental and monetary if possible, but certainly mental reserves to deal with unexpected things.

Something You Should Know
Cool Things You Can Do With AI & Surprising Insight in Chance, Probability & Risk

And it's resilience to things you never even thought of. I mean, you can protect yourself to some extent against things you have thought of. But in the end, what one needs is reserves, both I think mental and monetary if possible, but certainly mental reserves to deal with unexpected things.

Something You Should Know
Cool Things You Can Do With AI & Surprising Insight in Chance, Probability & Risk

And it's resilience to things you never even thought of. I mean, you can protect yourself to some extent against things you have thought of. But in the end, what one needs is reserves, both I think mental and monetary if possible, but certainly mental reserves to deal with unexpected things.

Something You Should Know
Cool Things You Can Do With AI & Surprising Insight in Chance, Probability & Risk

The illnesses are going to happen, the dramas, the things are going to happen to the people around you, the people you love, You've got to be deal with it. That is how things go. And so I don't know if you can train people into resilience, but it's certainly a characteristic that is, I think, the most valuable thing to have in an age of uncertainty.

Something You Should Know
Cool Things You Can Do With AI & Surprising Insight in Chance, Probability & Risk

The illnesses are going to happen, the dramas, the things are going to happen to the people around you, the people you love, You've got to be deal with it. That is how things go. And so I don't know if you can train people into resilience, but it's certainly a characteristic that is, I think, the most valuable thing to have in an age of uncertainty.

Something You Should Know
Cool Things You Can Do With AI & Surprising Insight in Chance, Probability & Risk

The illnesses are going to happen, the dramas, the things are going to happen to the people around you, the people you love, You've got to be deal with it. That is how things go. And so I don't know if you can train people into resilience, but it's certainly a characteristic that is, I think, the most valuable thing to have in an age of uncertainty.

Talk Evidence
Talk Evidence covid-19 update - Remdesivir, care homes, and death data

Well, of course, I'm a statistician and ideally I would love perfect statistics.

Talk Evidence
Talk Evidence covid-19 update - Remdesivir, care homes, and death data

I would like to know how many people are dying of because of this virus and compare it with how many people you'd expect normally in order to track the

Talk Evidence
Talk Evidence covid-19 update - Remdesivir, care homes, and death data

The epidemic.

Talk Evidence
Talk Evidence covid-19 update - Remdesivir, care homes, and death data

You know, every country has an issue in that there's two different sources, essentially.

Talk Evidence
Talk Evidence covid-19 update - Remdesivir, care homes, and death data

There's the quite rapid response of people dying from COVID.

Talk Evidence
Talk Evidence covid-19 update - Remdesivir, care homes, and death data

And then there's the official registration system in which you, when you check up on death certificates.

Talk Evidence
Talk Evidence covid-19 update - Remdesivir, care homes, and death data

And other countries don't have the same system as we have, where our death registrations come out really fast.

Talk Evidence
Talk Evidence covid-19 update - Remdesivir, care homes, and death data

I think Netherlands has, but other places don't.

Talk Evidence
Talk Evidence covid-19 update - Remdesivir, care homes, and death data

So the odds comes out every week.

Talk Evidence
Talk Evidence covid-19 update - Remdesivir, care homes, and death data

We see very rapidly how many people are dying every once.