David Spiegelhalter
👤 PersonAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
That's what I always say to kids when I talk about this stuff. Take risks, but don't be reckless. In other words, protect yourself against the severe downsides of what might happen.
That's what I always say to kids when I talk about this stuff. Take risks, but don't be reckless. In other words, protect yourself against the severe downsides of what might happen.
That's what I always say to kids when I talk about this stuff. Take risks, but don't be reckless. In other words, protect yourself against the severe downsides of what might happen.
But go for it, because people have found that people who are considered lucky, well, actually, they've got particular personal characteristics of being bold, taking advantage of opportunities, for having a positive mindset of going for things, acknowledging it's not always going to work out. So I kind of think that I try to do that, but without being, I won't get on a motorbike, for example.
But go for it, because people have found that people who are considered lucky, well, actually, they've got particular personal characteristics of being bold, taking advantage of opportunities, for having a positive mindset of going for things, acknowledging it's not always going to work out. So I kind of think that I try to do that, but without being, I won't get on a motorbike, for example.
But go for it, because people have found that people who are considered lucky, well, actually, they've got particular personal characteristics of being bold, taking advantage of opportunities, for having a positive mindset of going for things, acknowledging it's not always going to work out. So I kind of think that I try to do that, but without being, I won't get on a motorbike, for example.
I always think I would love it, but I'm not going to get on a motorbike. But I will go off and have other adventures, which I feel are okay. So I kind of try to weigh things up, not always using, not using numbers, but just trying to think about, you know, roughly what are the risks I'm concerned about.
I always think I would love it, but I'm not going to get on a motorbike. But I will go off and have other adventures, which I feel are okay. So I kind of try to weigh things up, not always using, not using numbers, but just trying to think about, you know, roughly what are the risks I'm concerned about.
I always think I would love it, but I'm not going to get on a motorbike. But I will go off and have other adventures, which I feel are okay. So I kind of try to weigh things up, not always using, not using numbers, but just trying to think about, you know, roughly what are the risks I'm concerned about.
Oh, that's very difficult. There's huge variation. You must know in the people, you know, you'll know some people who are very cautious, rather anxious, always concerned, you know, one in a million chance. Well, there's always the one and things like that. And others who are more gung-ho and go for it and kind of ignore, you know, are not too sensitive, you know, are bold, possibly even reckless.
Oh, that's very difficult. There's huge variation. You must know in the people, you know, you'll know some people who are very cautious, rather anxious, always concerned, you know, one in a million chance. Well, there's always the one and things like that. And others who are more gung-ho and go for it and kind of ignore, you know, are not too sensitive, you know, are bold, possibly even reckless.
Oh, that's very difficult. There's huge variation. You must know in the people, you know, you'll know some people who are very cautious, rather anxious, always concerned, you know, one in a million chance. Well, there's always the one and things like that. And others who are more gung-ho and go for it and kind of ignore, you know, are not too sensitive, you know, are bold, possibly even reckless.
And so there's enormous variation in our reaction to it. I think what's more important, and that's how individuals are, people are different. When it comes to sort of societies, when people are making judgments on behalf of us, about what risks society is prepared to take, then I think, you know, it is interesting just how much cautious some
And so there's enormous variation in our reaction to it. I think what's more important, and that's how individuals are, people are different. When it comes to sort of societies, when people are making judgments on behalf of us, about what risks society is prepared to take, then I think, you know, it is interesting just how much cautious some
And so there's enormous variation in our reaction to it. I think what's more important, and that's how individuals are, people are different. When it comes to sort of societies, when people are making judgments on behalf of us, about what risks society is prepared to take, then I think, you know, it is interesting just how much cautious some
you know, some policies are compared with others just because actually people are really concerned about, for example, nuclear power or nuclear waste. And so vast amounts of money is spent to possibly have negligible effect in reducing the risk as the risk is so small in the first place. And so, you know, I think when it comes to societal decisions, we should be expecting people to take
you know, some policies are compared with others just because actually people are really concerned about, for example, nuclear power or nuclear waste. And so vast amounts of money is spent to possibly have negligible effect in reducing the risk as the risk is so small in the first place. And so, you know, I think when it comes to societal decisions, we should be expecting people to take
you know, some policies are compared with others just because actually people are really concerned about, for example, nuclear power or nuclear waste. And so vast amounts of money is spent to possibly have negligible effect in reducing the risk as the risk is so small in the first place. And so, you know, I think when it comes to societal decisions, we should be expecting people to take
I wouldn't say a rational, but a balanced approach to actually looking at the important things and not, I personally feel, not following people's anxieties.
I wouldn't say a rational, but a balanced approach to actually looking at the important things and not, I personally feel, not following people's anxieties.