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David Yaffe-Bellany

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
426 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

And in this case, a wealthy trader in France came forward and said that he had made $30 million in bets that Trump would win the election and that this was based on his own careful research.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

He'd actually commissioned his own poll because he thought the traditional U.S.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

polling was misleading and that just out of that conviction, he put all of this money on Trump, which effectively shifted the polymarket odds in Trump's favor.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

And it was a profitable play.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

This guy made more than $85 million in profits when Trump won the election.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

People started calling him the French Whale.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

It had a huge impact.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

Suddenly these markets that had sort of operated on the margins of the financial system, getting some notice but not a ton, suddenly everyone stands up and says, wow, huge amounts of money are changing hands on these things.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

We really have to take them seriously.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

And, of course, Copeland is taking a victory lap.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

But soon we learned that this entire time as the company has been blowing up, becoming a big mainstream phenomenon, they've been under a federal criminal investigation.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

Whoa.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

In fact, shortly after the election, the FBI raids Copeland's home in New York City.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

They take his phone.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

And it's all part of an investigation into whether PolyMarket is legally allowing U.S.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

users to access the platform.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

So at the same time, you've got this moment of public vindication.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

You also have this really fraught legal moment where it's not clear whether the platform can survive in the United States.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

But there's a light at the end of the tunnel for Copeland, which is that soon Trump is going to take office.

The Daily
How to Bet on (Literally) Anything

And as soon as he's in power, everything changes.