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Derek Thompson

👤 Person
4249 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

We'll repeat them a lot through the show, but let's start with number one, economic strain.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

This is basically asking the question,

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

Is investment in this sector large enough to bend the economy the same way that railroads bent the economy or the dot-com bubble bent the economy?

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

A third of recent GDP growth can be traced to data center construction right now.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

That's enormous.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

Why isn't that big enough to make us afraid of a bubble in AI?

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

There's two ways, I think, to tell the story that you just told.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

One is that we used to not build things in the physical world, and now we're building things in the physical world.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

They're data centers, and that's good because building is good.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

That's one story.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

Another story you could tell, though, is that the data centers...

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

are pulling resources away from other things we have to build.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

Housing, residential investment has plummeted recently.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

Manufacturing employment is down.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

And one argument that Paul made is that AI and data center construction

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

is like a black hole, a dying star, a death star that's pulling all of the planets around it toward it, all of the labor and the resources and the capital, all being sucked into AI so that it can't be deployed to, say, build more houses.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

How do you feel about that interpretation, that AI doesn't just represent new investment,

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

It's crowding out investment that we might find more productive over the long run.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

Just to make a point really briefly, I heard you say that in the medium or long term, this could be net good for energy generation.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Everybody Thinks AI Is a Bubble. What If They’re Wrong?

And I think that that qualification is very important because in the next few months, quarters, years, it seems overwhelmingly likely to me that data center construction will