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Deric Cheng

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
403 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

And that is really important for us to be prepared for us to push that movement in the direction that most benefits society.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

Yeah, that's the hope.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

And we're doing the best we can to try to model different scenarios that might help move people towards understanding that this is a possibility.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

Yeah, it's pretty fascinating because on one hand, you have the media talking about this sort of idea nonstop.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

It's a great media story and engaging with it.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

On the other hand, there's very, very few people working concretely on trying to respond to this space.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

I think it's probably on the order of hundreds of people compared to, of course, almost millions at this point working on AI capabilities.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

And I think part of the reason is that there is a big gap between where AI futurists, the people working in Silicon Valley are right now, and where the establishment thinkers are.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

I think that on the AI futurist side, that they are very convinced that AI capabilities will take off very rapidly.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

But there isn't a lot of, say, economics knowledge, of policy knowledge, of background into these types of

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

like the inner workings of how societal change happens.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

And then on the establishment side, you have deep credibility in economics, public policy, and organizing change, but they haven't necessarily bought fully into the idea that capabilities could take off at this rate.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

And so these groups, I think, are almost a little bit talking past each other.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

On one end, you're talking about

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

10% or 15% GDP growth year over year.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

And on the other end, a lot of traditional economists are more on the bucket of, oh, this might increase growth by 0.1% or 0.2%.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

And so I think our goal in many ways is really to just try to take these two camps and show the ways in which they both have visibility into key parts of what is happening together and to allow for the conclusions to trickle in together, right?

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

I think

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

When you ask economists to hypothetically take, for example, what if AI capabilities could lead to a total automation of certain types of cognitive jobs, their conclusions are very different.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
How to Rebuild the Social Contract After AGI (with Deric Cheng)

And creating almost a space by which they can engage with their peers, collaborate, and think about these things is probably the next step just to start moving us in the right direction.