Deric Cheng

Yeah, I think...

On the AI futurist side, there is a lot to learn about how economies trickle down, how slow diffusion happens, the systematic structural impediments to simply deploying a very, very powerful AI system into many structures and systems.

A lot of these things have been built with humans in mind over hundreds of years, the entire time that they've existed.

And a lot of...

processes exist to slow down and to make sure that humans are in the loop, even if they haven't explicitly been designed in that way.

And so I think that starts to really pull us back a lot from this idea of 100% automation and sort of the recognition that there will be a world in which powerful AI agents and humans are working together and overlapping and collaborating for, honestly, a very long period of time.

And when you say very long period of time, what do you mean by that?

Yeah, I mean, everyone has different opinions on trajectories.

But my opinion is that we have still, you know, decades before humans are fully, possibly pushed out of major decision making positions, right?

I think that the conversation on the AI space is that this could happen very, very rapidly.

I think I see many of the structural impediments for that happening rapidly, though, I wouldn't disagree that there is the possibility of overall human disempowerment

Definitely, yeah.

And one of my beliefs is that in the moment, revolutionary changes are happening very, very rapidly, but on a day-to-day basis in society, it might not feel like that, right?

Like one example would be the internet.

of course, has revolutionized how we have worked in society and how we engage with each other and how we think about technology.

But its impact on GDP actually was relatively pretty small for almost a decade to two decades.

And we only have really started to see in the last decade, the impact of the internet on overall GDP levels starting to creep beyond like a few percent.

And so even though it has completely changed how we think about society and how we think about work from a structural economic perspective, these things happen to be quite delayed in terms of how quickly they change.

Yeah, absolutely.

I think when you think about these revolutions happening over the course of human history, each one progressively happens an exponential order of magnitude faster, right?