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Diego Parrilla

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
346 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

And yield curve control, unlike quantitative easing, quantitative easing is about, hello, Mr. Powell, here's 120 billion a month.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

Go and spend it.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

And he bought whatever he wanted, bonds and affected prices of things.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

Yield curve control is different.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

It's like, hello, Alan, the 10-year treasury is not going to go worse than 5%.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

Why?

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

Because I said so.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

What are you going to do about it?

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

Print infinite amount of dollars to hold it.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

It's more about knowing what not to do.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

So if someone is now, okay, who do you want to marry?

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

It's like, I have no idea, but I can tell you who I do not want.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

So that's what I learned.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

That's what I learned from some relationships.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

You're like, I don't really know what I want, but I can tell you exactly what I don't want.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

And so I think you can improve the average and you can make your day better by simply knowing what to avoid.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

I love the concept of Black Swan.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

I think Taleb has been very influential and Karl Popper and all this mindset.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

I think his contribution is towards, you know, as humans, we have this ludic fallacy of pretending we understand probabilities and underestimating the fat tails.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

And

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