Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Libraries Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing

Diego Parrilla

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
646 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

We're going to talk about them maybe more detail because it's more complex, but let me finish the framework.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

You know, this idea of level two and what it means with inflation, what it means with inflation expectations, what does it mean with problems that are...

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

Effectively too big, economies that are too big to fail and all that stuff leads to this dynamic.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

And that's where the 60-40 falls, the correlations break apart and everything else.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

And level three, and let's not fool ourselves, is taxes.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

You know, this is how you square the circle.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

effectively, can you make money in real terms after taxes and in particular wealth taxes?

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

OK, and the situation is mommy and daddy, you know, they face a problem.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

They say, OK, let's print our way out.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

They inflate problems that inflation creates inequality, social unrest, wars, whatever.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

And then eventually that inequality creates a super rich.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

And then, of course, you're going to go after the rich.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

And of course, no one's going to complain that you're going after the rich, which you created in the first place.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

partially through inflating.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

And then you sort of square the circle by where the governments had this first mover advantage.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

So they said, okay, I'm going to print the way out.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

I'm going to spend first.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

I'm going to repay with lower, with the debase stuff.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

And this is why I think from a game theory perspective, these three levels are there.

The MOST Important Thing
Why even our best Models Fail Us: The Illusion of Control Over Randomness

And we are somewhere between two and three.