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Downtown Josh Brown

👤 Speaker
1324 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

So that's why like 2022 was kind of recessionary from a corporate America profit perspective.

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

It wasn't – it was a full employment recession and this is a full employment recovery.

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

But this is just now getting back to a situation where equal weighted earnings growth.

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

can grow and be durable.

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

And from a pattern perspective, you see the symmetry between the duration of the decline and the duration of the support.

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

Three years.

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

Yeah.

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

Four months.

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

Yeah.

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

Yeah.

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

I mean, I started writing about it in the beginning of the year that we're just really getting started.

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

Yeah.

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

Well, that's why it's interesting when you talk about people saying, oh, the market's dependent on the MAG-7.

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

The MAG-7 underperformed for the better part of the last 18 months.

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

Correct.

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

Correct.

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

Maybe we'll have to come up with another acronym or something.

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

margins outside tech is this ai basically is the yeah so what what do you think why why are margins expanding at this rate outside of technology companies because they're the users of ai and they're expanding their margins it's too early yeah i think it's too early i mean you're definitely seeing productivity advancements in specifically in software but i don't think it's diffuse relative to the rest of corporate america and again i would go back to the if you ask me what's sort of

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

the driver behind that, I would go back to the pattern of unit labor costs, right?

The Compound and Friends
What if It’s Still Early? With Denise Chisholm

And that's sort of the driver, at least the corollary, the tightest corollary that I've ever seen with corporate profit margins.