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Dr. Alan O'Sullivan

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
1737 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

Just in terms of the theme of this podcast, Sebastian, is the most important thing.

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

It's supposed to be evergreen in nature.

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

So my aim really is that a graduate, a young professional looks at this maybe in four or five years and says, yeah, I could take something from this.

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

This is really valuable.

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

So I know that's a high bar for finance now.

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

because everything is so dynamic.

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

But if you were to say your most important thing from a portfolio construction perspective, what would you lean towards?

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

Listening to you there, I was thinking about my own kind of journey from, you know, the mean variance, which is looking at the first two moments of distribution, the mean and the variance.

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

And your book is covered in, you know, references to skewness, kurtosis, the third and fourth moments of the distribution.

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

For people who are lost and don't know what I'm speaking about, we'll have some more information on this in the notes.

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

But you also reference views a lot.

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

This is the alpha perhaps where, you know, if we just want the market, we can buy the index.

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

But perhaps what is alpha?

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

It's either stock selection, superior stock selection or market timing.

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

We know market timing doesn't really work.

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

So maybe it's in the asset selection then.

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

in relation to asset allocation, where you're starting with your, you're using some mean variance, but then you're imposing your views.

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

And that's back to our, what we started talking about to start.

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

The views are conditions on what's happening today.

The MOST Important Thing
Ep 6 - Beyond Diversification: Insights from Sebastian Page on Finance, Leadership, and Resilience

So it sounds to me that you have a Bayesian view of asset allocation.