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Dr. Dillon Amaya

👤 Speaker
114 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Science Friday
How El Niño shapes the world’s weather trends

It's this massive shift in the way that climate is going to unfold over the next year and a half or so.

Science Friday
How El Niño shapes the world’s weather trends

And that can affect the way that weather is felt in your day-to-day life.

Science Friday
How El Niño shapes the world’s weather trends

The models are very confident that El Nino is coming.

Science Friday
How El Niño shapes the world’s weather trends

I would say 80 to 90 to 100% confident that El Nino is coming.

Science Friday
How El Niño shapes the world’s weather trends

Right now, the uncertainty lies in how strong that El Nino event is, whether it's moderate, very strong, extreme.

Science Friday
How El Niño shapes the world’s weather trends

And that's kind of where the models are starting to firm up.

Science Friday
How El Niño shapes the world’s weather trends

Give us another month or two, and I think the models will start to agree.

Science Friday
How El Niño shapes the world’s weather trends

Typically, the models don't decide a specific date when an El Nino arrives.

Science Friday
How El Niño shapes the world’s weather trends

It's not a weather pattern in that way.

Science Friday
How El Niño shapes the world’s weather trends

It's more of a slow-moving transition.

Science Friday
How El Niño shapes the world’s weather trends

So I would expect El Nino to be declared officially, I would say, come this fall.

Science Friday
How El Niño shapes the world’s weather trends

Yeah, thank you so much.

Science Friday
How El Niño shapes the world’s weather trends

This was a lot of fun.

Science Friday
How El Niño shapes the world’s weather trends

Thanks for having me.

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