Dr. Ellen Langer
π€ SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
It's in the receiving of the information. We have to know that these things are just not true to the one. But it's very important because every time you're given a diagnosisβ You take the diagnosis as real. Well, it's not the case that they can be sure that all of these symptoms mean you have this disease.
And if you have, quote, this disease, we don't know that all of the people who have it are going to follow. And it becomes very unlikely when you turn it all inside out that way. And so another part of this that we can get into or not is people's understanding probabilities in general and that you can't predict. Now, people ask for answers all the time, even the how much is one in one.
And if you have, quote, this disease, we don't know that all of the people who have it are going to follow. And it becomes very unlikely when you turn it all inside out that way. And so another part of this that we can get into or not is people's understanding probabilities in general and that you can't predict. Now, people ask for answers all the time, even the how much is one in one.
And if you have, quote, this disease, we don't know that all of the people who have it are going to follow. And it becomes very unlikely when you turn it all inside out that way. And so another part of this that we can get into or not is people's understanding probabilities in general and that you can't predict. Now, people ask for answers all the time, even the how much is one in one.
Should I have the surgery? What is the disease that I have? And by recognizing that all information that's given is for the group, not for the individual. A few examples of this is kind of funny. I say, so Michael Jordan and I are going to have a foul shooting contest. We each get to shoot one basket. Who's going to win? Well, most people are just going to quickly say Michael Jordan.
Should I have the surgery? What is the disease that I have? And by recognizing that all information that's given is for the group, not for the individual. A few examples of this is kind of funny. I say, so Michael Jordan and I are going to have a foul shooting contest. We each get to shoot one basket. Who's going to win? Well, most people are just going to quickly say Michael Jordan.
Should I have the surgery? What is the disease that I have? And by recognizing that all information that's given is for the group, not for the individual. A few examples of this is kind of funny. I say, so Michael Jordan and I are going to have a foul shooting contest. We each get to shoot one basket. Who's going to win? Well, most people are just going to quickly say Michael Jordan.
How much money are you willing to bet on this? One shot each. Million dollars. I'll give you a million dollars if Ellen Langer wins. You give me or I'll give you a million dollars if Michael Jordan wins. You give me half a million dollars if Ellen Langer wins. First, you think you'll take the bet. But when you think about it, no, he sometimes misses. She sometimes makes the basket.
How much money are you willing to bet on this? One shot each. Million dollars. I'll give you a million dollars if Ellen Langer wins. You give me or I'll give you a million dollars if Michael Jordan wins. You give me half a million dollars if Ellen Langer wins. First, you think you'll take the bet. But when you think about it, no, he sometimes misses. She sometimes makes the basket.
How much money are you willing to bet on this? One shot each. Million dollars. I'll give you a million dollars if Ellen Langer wins. You give me or I'll give you a million dollars if Michael Jordan wins. You give me half a million dollars if Ellen Langer wins. First, you think you'll take the bet. But when you think about it, no, he sometimes misses. She sometimes makes the basket.
Maybe he had a fight with his wife, didn't sleep well. You know, maybe she is in top form and this is now the moment she's going to make that basket. Or make it simple. He said to himself, let the older woman win. Why not? Really? You know, and when you think of all the reasons why it could be the case that I could win, all of a sudden you become less certain.
Maybe he had a fight with his wife, didn't sleep well. You know, maybe she is in top form and this is now the moment she's going to make that basket. Or make it simple. He said to himself, let the older woman win. Why not? Really? You know, and when you think of all the reasons why it could be the case that I could win, all of a sudden you become less certain.
Maybe he had a fight with his wife, didn't sleep well. You know, maybe she is in top form and this is now the moment she's going to make that basket. Or make it simple. He said to himself, let the older woman win. Why not? Really? You know, and when you think of all the reasons why it could be the case that I could win, all of a sudden you become less certain.
Now, certainly if we were shooting 100 baskets, he would win. Let me give you another example I use too often because I don't know which of these will feel right. You go to a Mercedes parking lot or pick your favorite car. And let's say there are 100 cars there. You choose one. And if it starts, I will give you a million dollars.
Now, certainly if we were shooting 100 baskets, he would win. Let me give you another example I use too often because I don't know which of these will feel right. You go to a Mercedes parking lot or pick your favorite car. And let's say there are 100 cars there. You choose one. And if it starts, I will give you a million dollars.
Now, certainly if we were shooting 100 baskets, he would win. Let me give you another example I use too often because I don't know which of these will feel right. You go to a Mercedes parking lot or pick your favorite car. And let's say there are 100 cars there. You choose one. And if it starts, I will give you a million dollars.
If it doesn't start, you give me your full life savings, assuming it's under a million, capped at a million. Now, Mercedes are wonderful cars. Nobody is going to take that bet. Everybody knows, you know, sometimes it doesn't work. You know, sometimes the genius gets something wrong. Sometimes a car is a lemon and so on.
If it doesn't start, you give me your full life savings, assuming it's under a million, capped at a million. Now, Mercedes are wonderful cars. Nobody is going to take that bet. Everybody knows, you know, sometimes it doesn't work. You know, sometimes the genius gets something wrong. Sometimes a car is a lemon and so on.
If it doesn't start, you give me your full life savings, assuming it's under a million, capped at a million. Now, Mercedes are wonderful cars. Nobody is going to take that bet. Everybody knows, you know, sometimes it doesn't work. You know, sometimes the genius gets something wrong. Sometimes a car is a lemon and so on.
So what we mean when we say, you know, if you were going to start 100 cars, most of them are going to start. But you can't predict which one isn't going to. Well, in life, I'm happy if an operation is good for most people. I want to know, is it going to work for me? And there's no way to know that. You can never predict the individual case.