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Dr. Emma Shortis

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85 total appearances
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Podcast Appearances

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

And so I think the timing in that sense, we should be fairly sceptical of.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

And I think it's entirely possible as well that the Iranian regime has given him this in order to extract further concessions.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

Look, I think certainly on balance, Iran has managed to extract a significant amount of concessions from the United States.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

Everything we know about this deal so far suggests that it is significantly worse for the United States than the Obama-era JCPOA deal.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

And that's true, I think, of the nuclear issue.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

Iran will reaffirm its commitment to non-proliferation, which already exists, but any detail around that has been handballed off into a 60-day negotiating process.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

And again, I think we should be very sceptical that anything of any substance or any real detail could be negotiated within that period.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

But it's also true in other areas.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

So, for example, Iranian state media is reporting in their version of this deal that it includes $300 billion in effectively reparations payments for Iran, you know, to pay for reconstruction, which is significantly more money than came with the Obama-era deal.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

And that's not even counting what this war has actually cost the United States.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

And also around the Strait of Hormuz, you know, there's no indication really that materially the Strait is open.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

And again, it says in this, in what we know about this deal, that this will happen under Iranian arrangements.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

So the Iranian regime knows that they can maintain effective control of the Strait and have an enormous impact on the global economy there.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

So in that sense, I think we have to ask, as we've needed to ask from the very start of this illegal war, what was the point?

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

What was the point of all this?

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

And I don't think we can answer that.

377.87 View full episode →
7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

There hasn't been an official response from the Israeli government, but we already know that Lebanon is a significant issue in this deal.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

It has been, of course, for...

425.88 View full episode →
7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

a very long time.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

The Iranian regime has insisted that Lebanon is included in the ceasefire agreement.