Dwarkesh Hirani

Standing Committee has seven members.

This is the key group inside the Politburo.

And this person is one of those seven.

He runs the Center for Science... Sorry, the...

The Central Science and Technology Commission, the reason I'm especially interested in him is because any large-scale AI effort that China would launch would be under his purview.

Do we understand what he wants, who he is, what his relationship with Xi is, what he would do if AGI is around the corner, etc.

?

What are the different organizational milestones we should be watching for to understand how they're thinking about AI when things have escalated?

So to add more color to this question, what I expect to happen, let's say next year, in terms of raw AI capabilities,

we might have computer use agents.

So a thing which is not just a chatbot but can actually do real work for you.

You put it loose on your computer, it'll go through email and compile your taxes, et cetera.

And then dot, dot, dot.

In five years, I expect it to be able to do all white collar work or most white collar work, which is like 40% of the economy potentially.

Eventually, we'll have full AGI, even robotics and so forth.

As this is happening, how should we be tracking how the...

party is thinking about what is happening how seriously they take it what they should do about it should be I think last week or a couple weeks ago there was a Paula Bureau study session on AI but I don't know if there was like AGI AI or what kind of AI they were discussing AI yeah

Should we be looking for a leading group on AGI in particular?

Should we be trying to just read more speeches?

What should we be paying attention to?