Dwarkesh Patel

And I think there's a lot of really smart people who are ready to make use of the resources and do this period of catch up because we've had this discontinuity.

And I think, yeah, it might be similar.

I mean, the Industrial Revolution is such a jump, right?

You went from 0.2% growth to 2% growth.

I'm just saying you'll see another jump like that.

I actually don't think... I mean, the crucial thing about the industrial revolution was that it was not magical, right?

Like, if you just zoomed in, what you would see in 1770 or 1870...

is not that there was some key invention.

Yeah, exactly.

But at the same time, you did move the economy to a regime where the progress was much faster and the exponential 10x'd.

And I expect a similar thing from AI, where it's not like there's going to be a single moment where...

We made the crucial invention.

Yeah.

And I mean, maybe one way to think about it is through history, a lot of growth, I mean, growth comes because people come up with ideas and then people are like out there doing stuff to execute those ideas and make valuable output.

And through most of this time, population isn't exploding.

That has been driving growth.

For the last 50 years, people have argued that growth is stagnated.

Population in frontier countries is also stagnated.

I think we go back on the hyper exponential growth in population and output.

Sorry, exponential growth in population that causes hyper-exponential growth in output.