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Ed Elson

πŸ‘€ Speaker
12711 total appearances
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Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

that he, one, shouldn't have raised tariffs, as an example, but two, that he shouldn't have attacked Iran, that he shouldn't have invaded the Middle East, or at the very least, that his strategy in doing so was a fumble.

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

But I wonder if investors just don't want to admit that.

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

And we should be clear, we see this from investors on the left and from investors on the right.

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

But it seems it's happened to such a degree where to admit that we're seeing structural issues in the economy is to admit that the president...

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

who has become this sort of larger-than-life personality in the minds of many investors, is wrong about something, that his strategy was flawed.

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

And I wonder if that's inherently pushing investors to try to downplay or ignore or put their blinders on and think, no, it's not a problem, everything's fine.

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

Yeah, we'll just leave in a couple weeks.

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

Yeah, it's going to be okay.

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

And that might be a real problem over the long term.

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

It seems that the bond investors have decided, no, this is a problem.

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

But over in the stock market, you're not really seeing that.

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

So despite the fact that

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

Which would be just devastating to the markets if that were to actually transpire.

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

And I think, I mean, you made the point about how the bond markets, going back a year ago to Liberation Day and the tariffs, the bond market was the adult in the room.

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

Trump issued these tariffs.

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

He came out with his stupid billboard in the garden and everyone freaked out.

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

Stock market investors freaked out.

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

Bond investors particularly freaked out.

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

where you saw the 10-year yield jumping more than 50 basis points in three days.

Prof G Markets
Bond Investors Are Panicking β€” And They May Be Right

It was the biggest three-day jump in more than two decades.