Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing

Ed Elson

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
4561 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

Look at the fact that our GDP has grown.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

Look at the fact that our, quote, economy is roaring like never before.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

And then, as you kind of point out, not acknowledging that the reason that is happening is because AI is adding a full half percentage point to GDP growth right now, because America is essentially becoming a giant bet on AI.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

The reason that we're probably going to see some more

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

growth in the next year is, as you say, because of this unbelievable deficit spending, which is going to reach $2 trillion next year.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

That's a level that we've only reached during recessions and during pandemics.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

So the underlying situation and picture isn't great.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

And he's asking us to believe it is great.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

But the most important point is the one you brought up in the previous section, which is that you look at the stock price.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

We are underperforming every major index, every major international market right now by a pretty significant margin.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

When you look at last year where, yes, the S&P rose 16%, which was good, but you look at the all-country world index minus the U.S., which rose 29%, which is almost double the return of the U.S.,

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

And then the big question was, is this going to continue in 2026, or was all of the juice squeezed out of that trade in 2025?

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

It is continuing.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

Year-to-date, S&P is flat.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

Year-to-date, MSCI World minus USA Index is up 10%.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

So all of these other stock markets, I mean, they are outperforming.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

And you can get up there on the stage and you can say, look at the stock market, we're doing well.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

But as we all know, all of this stuff is relative.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

When you compare us to the rest of the world, we're actually not doing so well, which is surprising because you would think that if we own all of the AI companies, which we do,

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

Why aren't things going well?