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Ed Elson

πŸ‘€ Speaker
11650 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

John Foley is the head of the Lex column at the Financial Times.

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

John, thank you for joining us on Proftery Markets.

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

We appreciate it.

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

Thanks.

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

Just three more days until SpaceX goes public.

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

The company will raise $75 billion, making it the largest IPO of all time.

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

After that, Anthropic and OpenAI will go public.

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

How much will they raise?

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

Unclear, but...

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

given the size of their recent rounds, $65 billion and $122 billion, respectively, we can assume that those IPOs will also be massive, likely around $100 billion, and almost certainly larger than SpaceX's IPO.

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

Then there is Google, which will raise $85 billion, the largest equity financing event of all time.

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

And then after that,

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

possibly Meta, which supposedly wants to raise tens of billions of dollars as well.

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

So that's already around $400 billion in new equity supply.

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

But wait, there is more.

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

Because according to Goldman Sachs, nearly $500 billion worth of shares are about to be unlocked.

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

after their lockup periods expire this year.

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

So now we're actually up to roughly $900 billion, nearly a trillion dollars in new equity supply that is about to hit the stock market.

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

Why does any of this matter?

Prof G Markets
Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

Well, it all goes back to supply and demand.