Why A Hot Jobs Report Spooked Wall Street

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Prof G Markets 34 min 4 speakers 4 chapters transcribed 3 months ago
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Ed Elson 1:52
Welcome to Profiteer Markets. I'm Ed Elson. It is June 9th. Let's check in on yesterday's market vitals. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq rebounded from Friday's sell-off. More on that in a second. Chipmakers rallied, with Intel jumping 10% on news that Google ordered 3 million chips from the company. Oil eased as Israel and Iran pledged to halt their strikes. And finally, Apple stock fell nearly 2% on lackluster AI product news at its developer conference. Okay, what else is happening? The May jobs report dropped on Friday, and while it was a blowout, markets took it as bad news. The economy added 172,000 jobs last month, more than double what forecasters expected. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, plus the March and April reports were also revised higher, adding another 93,000 jobs.
Ed Elson 3:00
However, This strong report caused a massive sell-off on Friday. The S&P closed down almost 3%, and the Nasdaq fell more than 4%. That was its worst drop since Liberation Day. So here to unpack this report and also why markets reacted so badly, we are speaking with Justin Wolfers, professor of public policy and economics at the University of Michigan and also founder of Platypus Economics. Justin, great to see you. Thank you for joining us again on the show. I want to get into the market's reaction. But before we do that, let's first just make sense of this jobs report, which was seemingly really strong. 172,000 jobs added in May. The previous reports revised upward. Give us your read on what we saw in that jobs report.
Justin Wolfers 3:50
I think we just saw really, really good news. The I feel fairly confident and comfortable saying that, but I want to be clear, I will not normally see 172,000 and jump for joy. I'll normally say, look for confirmation with a few more months. And so one of the things that was so interesting is we're now at three very strong months in a row. So I'm more impressed by the fact that over the past three months, we've averaged job growth around about that pace. I think it's 188,000 a month. For folks who are keeping score at home, that's the sort of – my mum's a very, very hard taskmaster. But if I brought home jobs numbers like that, my mum would probably say, well done, Justin. Good job. And so I'd say that's the US economy.
Justin Wolfers 4:36
Well done.
Ed Elson 4:37
What about people who see this jobs report, and I've seen this online, and they say, I don't believe it. They're lying. You know, this is some sort of grift from the president. I mean, it seems that a lot of people, this is seemingly good news.

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