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Ed Elson

👤 Speaker
771 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

All right.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody's Analytics.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

Mark, always love having you.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

Thank you.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

Take care now.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

Another month, another inflation report, and for the second time, the numbers are wrong.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

Now, if you listen to the show a lot, you know that I hate when people make this argument.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

When the data comes out and someone on the left or the right says, no, no, you can't trust the number.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

The number's wrong because the people who report those numbers, the people at the BLS, they're lying.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

I hate this argument because it is a lazy argument, and it's almost never true.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

The people at the BLS are not lying.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

As we've discussed before, if there's any reason why the numbers are wrong, it's that there was an actual data problem.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

Some irregularity in the survey, some problem in the reporting that made the numbers flawed.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

And if that is the case...

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

well, it's important then that you show me your evidence.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

Show me why you believe in this very bold claim that the US government's data is incorrect.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

In other words, this is no small statement.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

And yet, in this case, it is actually true.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

And it all goes back once again to that stupid month of October when the government shut down all of its operations, including its ability to go out and measure prices, which means they literally didn't collect the data.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

And more importantly, they didn't adjust for that data.