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Ed Elson

👤 Speaker
11816 total appearances
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Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

But part of getting there was a froth and a market that crushed early investors.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

Or not early investors, but investors buying at what was, I don't know what you call it, the first peak, if you will.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

Yeah, the IPO.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

Yeah, Amazon and Cisco lost 90 plus percent of their value from 99 to 2001.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

Obviously, Amazon came back and then some.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

Cisco did not.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

But these capital wars are...

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

are just extraordinary.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

We've never seen anything like it.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

And I got to think that in the next 12 to 24 months, one or two of these three companies is off 60 or 80%.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

I just don't see how they maintain this momentum.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

What you're doing is what we say a little bit not to do, but I'll engage in it, and that is you're trying to time the market, right?

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

And I understand that at these valuations, you may want to stay away from it.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

I agree with that.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

The

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

What typically an investment bank does, one of the reasons to go public is it's a branding event, and you only get to go public once.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

And you want to manufacture scarcity and hype such that you get a pop.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

And I've even said, advise companies that are going public, price well below the demand, because if you're up 40, 60, 80, circle went public at 200% pop,

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

the additional five or 7% dilution, which isn't the case here because they're raising so much money, but the additional five or 7% dilution from, or two or 3% from leaving money on the table, because technically you're raising money.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

You could raise a lot more money at a lower dilution, but the branding you get when you're seen as, wow, this IPO,