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Ed

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
6849 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

free markets and commerce and letting economics and markets lead how we structure our, at least the commercial part of our lives, we kind of want markets to punish all bad ideas.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

Right.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

We want it to be a kind of final court of justice for the world.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

And I'm afraid that that is not true.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

You know, what do stocks do?

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

They discount future cash flows of corporations.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

What do bonds do?

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

You know, they are a bet on the solvency of a nation, you know, and that could connect to geopolitics a little more closely.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

But you can have an empire that's plenty solvent.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

There's been a lot of them in history where you'd want to own their bonds.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

So we can't turn to markets to solve these kind of political and moral dilemmas for us.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

But so that's the thought number one.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

The contradictory thought is this, where we see markets flourish,

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

in history where, where markets are places where people can make good money over a long time and retire and be happy and compound wealth and all that.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

Those almost one-to-one turn out to be places that have rule of law.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

You can't over time, make money in the Russian stock market.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

You haven't, you haven't consistently made money over time in the Chinese stock market.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

And importantly, in the case of China, you haven't made good money there, despite the fact that the economy has grown leaps and bounds, right?

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

So investors didn't grow with the economy in China, a place where rule of law is an open question.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

So if you think we're heading in a direction where the rule of law doesn't apply,