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Eddie Wu

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
153 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

They're each vibrating one another and passing that heat energy along the way until it is evenly spread throughout the environment, which is why, of course, if you come to that cup of coffee after an hour,

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

it will be exactly the same temperature as the surrounding environment, which is probably not very pleasant to drink.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

If you just have 23 people in a room, there is a 50% chance that two of those people are going to share the same birthday, which sounds ridiculous, but it actually is true.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

And we can prove it mathematically in the same way that we were doing that compound interest explanation before.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

Every additional person that you add has more possible connections with every other person in the group.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

And to make sure that no one has the same birthday, actually, there are fewer and fewer days that are possible.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

And when you go ahead and you do the probability calculation, it ends up, I think it's 50.06% when there is 23 people in the room.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

And that seems extremely surprising, but the mathematics bears it out.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

And I think that's one of the things that's most powerful about mathematics.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

We have this intuition for how the natural world works, but sometimes we're surprised by things and mathematics can help us to actually use clear logic and deduction to see what's really true.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

Yes.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

So again, I know this is very counterintuitive, but let's think about it from the opposite point of view.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

This is something that mathematicians call the complement.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

So the probability that we don't share the same birthday is 364 out of 365, which again, seems like an extremely high chance.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

It's more than 99%, right?

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

So of course it's,

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

unlikely that we would share the same birthday.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

There's more than a 99% chance we've got different ones.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

But when we add the next person in, we're not multiplying by 364 divided by 365.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

There are a few options.