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Eddie Wu

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
153 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

You and I, we occupy two of the birthdays.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

So now it's going to be 363 out of 365.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

And then the next person who comes along, 362.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

Now, again, those fractions don't seem like they're going to be very small, very fast, but the more of them that are multiplied together, and the thing is, we don't often multiply 23 numbers one after another after another, so our intuition for how big or small that number is going to be turns out to be quite poor.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

But by the time you get to the 23rd person,

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

All of those fractions reduce that number down, and you end up having a chance less than 50% that we all have different birthdays.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

So therefore, the chance that at least one person shares a birthday with another ends up being more than 50%.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

Again, counterintuitive and surprising.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

Yes, exactly right.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

And that's part of the counterintuitive part of it.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

We have a bias to think about it from our own point of view.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

And you're right.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

If it's just me and those other 22 people or yourself, then of course, the chance is much higher that I'm not going to share a birthday with any of them.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

What's the math of sunflowers?

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

the beauty of the sunflower, the mathematical genius of it, really only comes when you zoom in nice and close.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

So if anyone gets to go into a nursery, a plant nursery, or if they have some sunflowers growing near them, or even if you just wanna go on the internet and search for a picture, do a closeup of the pattern of seeds that's on the face of a sunflower.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

And one of the things you'll recognize is,

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

It isn't just this dark, flat area that's surrounded by beautiful golden petals.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

Actually, there are tens, dozens, hundreds of individual seeds that are there all nestled together.

Something You Should Know
What Makes a Hit Song & Why You Never See the Same Rainbow Twice

But this is the key part.