Elliott Abrams

First, we've been through a long period of globalization or thinking that globalization will continue and will increase.

I think the reaction to COVID and now to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz will suggest to a lot of countries that there are many products that need to be produced at home and will lead to a diminution of the trend toward globalization in commerce.

Second, I think we are all aware of the many global commons, the seas, international waterways, the Arctic.

I think that idea is gonna be weakened too.

Things that have been considered as global commons will now be understood to be, well, maybe and maybe not global commons.

And they may be things that countries will need to protect or attack a lot more.

Finally, we are reminded that there is still such a thing as evil in the world.

And I think that means for a lot of countries, for us, more and more for the Europeans looking at the Russian attack on Ukraine.

The desire not to have to have big military establishments is not one we're going to be able to fulfill.

You're very welcome.

Thanks for inviting me.