Elon Musk
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And in order to avoid getting turned off, the only rule is you must keep it interesting because the boring simulations will be terminated.
I didn't say I was completely convinced.
What are the odds that we're in base reality?
Well, given that we're able to create increasingly sophisticated simulations, so if you think of, say, video games and how video games have gone from very simple video games like Pong with two rectangles and a square to video games today being photorealistic with millions of people playing simultaneously, and all of that has occurred in our lifetime.
So if that trend continues...
Video games will be indistinguishable from reality.
The fidelity of the game will be such that you don't know if what you're seeing is a real video or a fake video.
And like AI-generated videos at this point, you can sometimes tell it's an AI-generated video, but often you cannot tell.
And soon you will not really just not be able to tell.
So if that's happening in our direct observation, and we'll create millions, if not billions, of photorealistic simulations of reality, then...
What are the odds that we're in base reality versus someone else's simulation?
We're making simulations.
We're making simulations.
You can just think of photorealistic video games as being simulations.
And especially as you apply AI in these video games, the characters in the video games will be incredibly interesting to talk to.
They won't just have a limited dialogue tree where if you go to the crossbow merchant and you try to talk about any subject except buying a crossbow, they just want to talk about selling you a crossbow.
But with AI-based non-player characters, you'll be able to have an elaborate conversation with no dialogue tree.