Eric Levitz

Yeah, so this was my interview with David Shore of Blue Rose Research. He's one of the biggest sort of democratic data gurus in the party. And basically, the big picture headline takeaways are... Coming up on Today Explained.

The big picture headline takeaways are that voters who say they don't care much about politics, who don't follow the news closely, who don't always vote in elections, that group moved really strongly towards Donald Trump. This was a group that was split about evenly between Biden and Trump in 2020, and this time it was overwhelmingly for Donald Trump.

The big picture headline takeaways are that voters who say they don't care much about politics, who don't follow the news closely, who don't always vote in elections, that group moved really strongly towards Donald Trump. This was a group that was split about evenly between Biden and Trump in 2020, and this time it was overwhelmingly for Donald Trump.

The big picture headline takeaways are that voters who say they don't care much about politics, who don't follow the news closely, who don't always vote in elections, that group moved really strongly towards Donald Trump. This was a group that was split about evenly between Biden and Trump in 2020, and this time it was overwhelmingly for Donald Trump.

I think that what is most striking, perhaps, in his data is the movements among younger voters for the entire time that i've been covering politics there was a basic narrative where the republican party was essentially facing a ticking time bomb where they were going to have to fundamentally make more peace with social liberalism and with the welfare state

I think that what is most striking, perhaps, in his data is the movements among younger voters for the entire time that i've been covering politics there was a basic narrative where the republican party was essentially facing a ticking time bomb where they were going to have to fundamentally make more peace with social liberalism and with the welfare state

I think that what is most striking, perhaps, in his data is the movements among younger voters for the entire time that i've been covering politics there was a basic narrative where the republican party was essentially facing a ticking time bomb where they were going to have to fundamentally make more peace with social liberalism and with the welfare state

because the rising generations in the United States, millennials and Zoomers, just weren't buying what they were selling. And yeah, they can cobble together these electoral college majorities for a little while, but this is just a matter of time before we get to the progressive majority.

because the rising generations in the United States, millennials and Zoomers, just weren't buying what they were selling. And yeah, they can cobble together these electoral college majorities for a little while, but this is just a matter of time before we get to the progressive majority.

because the rising generations in the United States, millennials and Zoomers, just weren't buying what they were selling. And yeah, they can cobble together these electoral college majorities for a little while, but this is just a matter of time before we get to the progressive majority.

What happened in 2024 completely upends that sense of demographic destiny. Voters under 30 were narrowly pro-Trump, even after going for Biden by huge margins in 2020. Every demographic group under the age of 25 is more Republican than the millennial generation was.

What happened in 2024 completely upends that sense of demographic destiny. Voters under 30 were narrowly pro-Trump, even after going for Biden by huge margins in 2020. Every demographic group under the age of 25 is more Republican than the millennial generation was.

What happened in 2024 completely upends that sense of demographic destiny. Voters under 30 were narrowly pro-Trump, even after going for Biden by huge margins in 2020. Every demographic group under the age of 25 is more Republican than the millennial generation was.

Yeah, so I think that the data we have is better at telling us what happened than why, but we do have some informed guesses. I think that one factor here is that it's part of this broader phenomenon of politically disengaged voters moving to the right, that younger people are often a bit less tuned into the news.

Yeah, so I think that the data we have is better at telling us what happened than why, but we do have some informed guesses. I think that one factor here is that it's part of this broader phenomenon of politically disengaged voters moving to the right, that younger people are often a bit less tuned into the news.

Yeah, so I think that the data we have is better at telling us what happened than why, but we do have some informed guesses. I think that one factor here is that it's part of this broader phenomenon of politically disengaged voters moving to the right, that younger people are often a bit less tuned into the news.

They've got their own sort of coming of age and lives and romantic lives in college and whatever else occupying a lot of their attention. But there's also just the fact that politically disengaged voters tend to have weaker partisan identities, ideological identities. And it's also true of younger voters who also often have not fully formed their political identities.

They've got their own sort of coming of age and lives and romantic lives in college and whatever else occupying a lot of their attention. But there's also just the fact that politically disengaged voters tend to have weaker partisan identities, ideological identities. And it's also true of younger voters who also often have not fully formed their political identities.

They've got their own sort of coming of age and lives and romantic lives in college and whatever else occupying a lot of their attention. But there's also just the fact that politically disengaged voters tend to have weaker partisan identities, ideological identities. And it's also true of younger voters who also often have not fully formed their political identities.

Another factor that might explain this divergence between young voters today and the millennial generation are that the two just had different formative experiences. And so the millennial generation, a lot of us, came of age under the second term of the George W. Bush administration when you saw the Iraq War coming apart. Major combat operations in Iraq have ended.