Eric Schmidt
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So it's the best possible story for why you don't want automatic systems that just decide on their own. Because you can get into all sorts of situations where there was a misunderstanding and terror occurs.
So it's the best possible story for why you don't want automatic systems that just decide on their own. Because you can get into all sorts of situations where there was a misunderstanding and terror occurs.
We actually, the three authors all disagreed on this. I'm quite sure humanity will survive and I am an optimist more so than Henry was. And we miss him by the way. But the reason to be on my side of this is that we as humans have faced all of these challenges before. And in all cases, we have survived at various levels of pain. So we will survive.
We actually, the three authors all disagreed on this. I'm quite sure humanity will survive and I am an optimist more so than Henry was. And we miss him by the way. But the reason to be on my side of this is that we as humans have faced all of these challenges before. And in all cases, we have survived at various levels of pain. So we will survive.
Let's reduce the possible pain and let's certainly avoid conflict using these new tools at the scale that we're discussing. It would be horrendous.
Let's reduce the possible pain and let's certainly avoid conflict using these new tools at the scale that we're discussing. It would be horrendous.
I think the first point, which I cannot emphasize enough, is that this stuff is happening much, much faster than I expected and that almost anyone understands. I have never in my almost 50 years career doing this had a situation where there's a surprise every day. And almost all of the surprises are to more power, more insight, better than human performance.
I think the first point, which I cannot emphasize enough, is that this stuff is happening much, much faster than I expected and that almost anyone understands. I have never in my almost 50 years career doing this had a situation where there's a surprise every day. And almost all of the surprises are to more power, more insight, better than human performance.
And as that arrives, it changes huge human systems, because humans have organized themselves in various ways. We need to have a map of the arrival and the impact. I'd say the second point is that there's a set of questions that we don't know. And one of them is, where is the limit of this kind of intelligence? Let me give you an example.
And as that arrives, it changes huge human systems, because humans have organized themselves in various ways. We need to have a map of the arrival and the impact. I'd say the second point is that there's a set of questions that we don't know. And one of them is, where is the limit of this kind of intelligence? Let me give you an example.
It's clear to me that these things will be fantastic scientists, whatever you want to call them. Fantastic scientists, they can analyze things, they can figure stuff out, they can do math better, all that kind of stuff. Much of human behavior is really invention, strategy, and responses. We haven't seen that yet emerge in these systems.
It's clear to me that these things will be fantastic scientists, whatever you want to call them. Fantastic scientists, they can analyze things, they can figure stuff out, they can do math better, all that kind of stuff. Much of human behavior is really invention, strategy, and responses. We haven't seen that yet emerge in these systems.
So is there a limit to where the current technology will go compared to humans? In other words, will the system do 90%? But the 10% that the humans do are the stuff that humans are particularly good at, strategy, thinking about impact, understanding subtleties of humans and things like that, or will that go too? My own opinion right now is there will be a space for us for a long time.
So is there a limit to where the current technology will go compared to humans? In other words, will the system do 90%? But the 10% that the humans do are the stuff that humans are particularly good at, strategy, thinking about impact, understanding subtleties of humans and things like that, or will that go too? My own opinion right now is there will be a space for us for a long time.
That is my opinion. And I think the third thing I would mention is this question of proliferation. In all my work here, everyone likes to compare this to the nuclear proliferation problem of which Dr. Kissinger was the world's expert because he did it. And his view, which is also Craig's and mine, is that it's different.
That is my opinion. And I think the third thing I would mention is this question of proliferation. In all my work here, everyone likes to compare this to the nuclear proliferation problem of which Dr. Kissinger was the world's expert because he did it. And his view, which is also Craig's and mine, is that it's different.
But the proliferation problem for this is it's so much easier to make this technology broadly available that we have to really think about how we're going to make sure that evil people don't get access to it. And that's an issue for everyone, not just for you and me.
But the proliferation problem for this is it's so much easier to make this technology broadly available that we have to really think about how we're going to make sure that evil people don't get access to it. And that's an issue for everyone, not just for you and me.
Thank you very much, Lynn. Thank you for everything and thank you for your support.
Thank you very much, Lynn. Thank you for everything and thank you for your support.