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Eswar Prasad

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
373 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

In fact, I'd say it infects domestic politics, which in turn has an implication for how the U.S.

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

deals with the rest of the world, as Trump is doing.

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

No, I think what is the problem is that globalization worked very well on the aggregate, but there were two things that we did not pay enough attention to.

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

One was distribution of benefits within each country, and

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

whether there were adequate safety nets in place to catch those who fell and give them a sense that they had an opportunity to clamber back the economic ladder.

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

Now, in a market economy, it is natural that some industries do well, others decline.

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

Some firms do well, others don't do so well.

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

But the sense that the system is stacked against you and the only way you can reform it is by blowing it up

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

which is basically Trump's message, got a lot of resonance.

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

The second issue is related to the rules of the game.

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

You know, there was a sense that every country could benefit from globalization if there was a commonly accepted set of rules.

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

But it turns out that while some countries like the US by and large played by the rules, there were others like China

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

that took advantage of the rules.

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

So essentially, China got access to export markets around the world, but did not reciprocate by providing access to its own markets.

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

And the interesting thing, how this came to a head in Davos, is that Trump was talking about

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

receding from globalization and basically pushing other countries away from the U.S.

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

through tariff barriers and other ways of pushing aside longstanding alliances.

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

China tried to play the adult in the room.

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

You know, China wanted to make the case that it has become the defender of the rules-based order of multilateralism of globalization.

Prof G Markets
The World Is In a Doom Loop โ€” ft. Eswar Prasad

The problem is not many countries want to buy that story.