Eyck Freymann

I think their plan A is just squeeze Taiwan to death or squeeze Taiwan to the point where it – like Hong Kong realizes no one – the cavalry isn't coming.

We just have to negotiate.

And then we sign some piece – they sign some piece of paper that says one country, two systems, Taiwan version.

And then Xi Jinping declares victory.

And that's the Hong Kong model.

And that's a lot more attractive than rolling the dice on an invasion, which as Russia showed in Ukraine could go wrong.

Yes, it's a punchline.

Laugh it up.

But – but –

Here's the thing.

China has a political calendar too.

2027 is a party congress year.

And remember, the last party congress year, granted it was COVID, but it was also COVID was over everywhere in the world.

Xi Jinping locked everyone in their house for a year.

He took advantage of it for another year.

That's how paranoid he was going into the last party congress.

to get his third term.

So now he's going up for a fourth term.

He's completely cleared out the top brass in the People's Liberation Army.

I mean, do you really think there aren't more purges coming?